Shoigu warns of more intense shelling of Ukraine: ISW explains what is behind the statements and names the Kremlin's goal

Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu emphasized that Russia intends to intensify its strike campaign to disrupt Ukraine's logistics. He predicted that Russian troops would increase attacks against Ukrainian logistics centers and warehouses of Western weapons .

Shoigu said this during a speech at the board of the Russian Defense Ministry on April 23, according to analysts at the Institute for the Study of War (ISW). Russian troops are likely to increase their drone and missile attacks in the coming weeks in order to cause maximum damage to Ukraine's infrastructure and defense industry base.

In particular, the attacks may intensify ahead of the expected arrival of U.S. security assistance to alleviate Ukraine's critical shortage of air defense missiles.

Russian troops have already carried out heavy attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure during missile and drone strikes in March and April 2024. They took advantage of Ukraine's already weakened air defense systems in an attempt to disrupt Ukraine's power grid and cause lasting damage to military capabilities and citizen morale.

At the same time, analysts note that Sergei Shoigu's emphasis on strikes against Ukrainian logistics indicates a possible change in the priorities of the Russian military. These attacks may target Ukraine's transportation infrastructure, logistics, and military storage facilities.

On Sunday, April 19, Russian troops launched heavy attacks on Ukraine's transport infrastructure in the Dnipropetrovsk region. According to some reports, Russian troops may be planning to repeat and intensify these attacks in the coming weeks in order to cut off Ukrainian land lines of communication.

Russia's military leadership may expect that coordinated efforts will limit Ukraine's ability to effectively allocate manpower and material resources in critical areas of the front and delay the improvement of capabilities that will enable Ukrainian forces to receive security assistance from the United States.

Earlier, it was reported that during the air attack on Ukraine on the night of April 23, the Russians used a new tactic. They launched several Shahed-136 kamikaze drones at different intervals to make it harder to shoot them down.

Greece is likely to transfer the Patriot air defense system to Ukraine, provided that it receives U.S. "guarantees" about the threat from Turkey and a financial compensation package. This refers to the latest modification of the Patriot PAC-3 anti-aircraft missile system, designed to defeat and destroy tactical ballistic missiles.

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