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"There are three options for the development of events": the DIU gave a forecast of how Russia will use soldiers from the DPRK and whether their contingent can be increased to 100 thousand
Out of the 9,000 North Korean soldiers currently on the territory of the Russian Federation, 2,000 have already been transferred to the combat units of the Russian occupiers. Presumably, the command of the aggressor country plans to use them in active combat either in Ukraine or in the Kursk region, or the DPRK army personnel will remain on the second line of defense, which also poses a danger to Ukraine.
This was stated by a representative of the Defence Intelligence of Ukraine Andrii Cherniak in an interview with "Donbas Realii." In particular, he confirmed Bloomberg's information that the DPRK could send up to 100,000 of its military to Russia.
"Of course, there is a possibility that if North Korea is involved in a war, in active hostilities, they may increase their contingent. We do not rule out this possibility, and according to the DIU, yes, it can really be up to 100 thousand," said Andrii Cherniak.
According to him, this can happen through certain agreements under which North Korea will be able to "trade with Russia" for the resources it needs.
"Whether it's technology, food, or some new weapons. They are asking for everything. I think that in accordance with this, there will be some inflows of personnel," the DIU representative said.
He also said that the 11,000 DPRK troops in Russia, "although they are not many in number," still pose a danger to Ukraine and the region from which they came.
"We do not yet know in what role they will participate in the fighting, but we understand that those soldiers who survive and return to the territory of North Korea will be people who have been trained in the rules of modern warfare," Cherniak explained.
It has been established that North Koreans are undergoing both general military training and specific training as UAV operators at the Kursk region training grounds.
"After they return home, they will be trained specialists who, firstly, understand how to operate UAVs themselves. Secondly, they will be instructors. 11 thousand, or however many of them will return, instructors who will be able to teach the million-strong North Korean army new conditions of warfare, new conditions of combat operations," the intelligence official said.
Therefore, these soldiers pose a danger to South Korea, Japan, and all democratic countries in the region, Cherniak warned.
Regarding Russia's plans to use the DPRK contingent, there may be three scenarios. Currently, there are 9,000 servicemen in the operational reserve, and 2,000 have already been transferred to combat units of the Russian Armed Forces.
"There are three options here. Either they will take part in active hostilities on the territory of Ukraine. Either they will take part in active hostilities on the territory of Russia, or in the territory of Kursk. Either they will remain in the operational reserve on the second line of defense, which, in principle, is also dangerous for Ukraine. Why? Because it will make it possible to release a certain number of Russian servicemen who will be involved in active combat operations," the DIU representative said.
According to him, 2,000 North Koreans have been sent to a marine brigade and an airborne division.
"If they have already been assigned to units that are engaged in active combat operations, then we can say with certainty that they have already joined the fighting. Maybe they are not on the front line. They may not be on the front lines, but they are still ensuring aggression against Ukraine, ensuring the killing of Ukrainian servicemen," Cherniak said.
He also commented on the information of The Wall Street Journal that the DPRK army in Russia is led by General Kim Yong Bok:
"According to our information, there are indeed three generals in charge of the North Korean troops in Russia. They are hidden as much as possible, they are guarded as much as possible. They are in closed camps, they are being trained, but they are trying to hide them as much as possible from everyone."