Russia may be preparing for a new offensive in the summer of 2024: ISW names a key factor for AFU

The Russian terrorist army may be preparing for a new offensive in the summer of 2024. Throughout the spring, Russian troops will also continue to exert pressure along the entire front line to destabilize Ukrainian defensive positions.

At the same time, Western assistance is likely to play a crucial role in Ukraine's ability to hold the territory now and repel a new Russian offensive in the coming months. This is stated in the analysis of the Institute for the Study of War.

According to analysts, the terrorist country Russia is trying to maintain the pace of its offensive operations along the entire front line. The enemy is concentrating its main efforts on advancing west of Avdiivka. Every day, the occupiers conduct mechanized and infantry attacks on this section of the frontline, trying to break through Ukraine's defense.

The ISW noted that the lack of weapons caused by delays in Western aid forces Ukraine to prioritize limited resources in critical areas of the front, increasing the risk of a Russian breakthrough in other parts of the front. The shortage of weapons makes the front line as a whole more fragile than it appears despite the current relatively slow pace of the Russian offensive.

Moreover, Putin's forces intend to try to take advantage of Ukraine's vulnerability this spring and summer. Analysts believe that Russian troops will attempt a breakthrough before difficult weather and terrain conditions in the spring limit effective mechanized maneuver on both sides of the front.

At the same time, Russian troops may try to maintain the momentum of their offensive, regardless of the difficult weather and terrain conditions, to take advantage of the lack of Ukrainian equipment before the promised Western aid arrives. At the same time, Ukrainian and Western officials are increasingly warning of both a significant shortage of military equipment and a new large-scale Russian offensive in the summer of 2024.

To date, the intentions of a Russian offensive in the summer of 2024 are not yet clear and probably will not be until Russian troops launch it. However, the ISW is confident that the military command of the terrorist country intends to benefit from any successes it achieves in the coming weeks.

Earlier, it was reported that the Armed Forces of Ukraine can stop the aggressor's efforts if they have enough resources both for defense and for their own assault operations.

As reported, according to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Oleksandr Syrskyi is currently developing two options for a plan for further actions of our army at the front. Which of them will be implemented will depend on whether the country receives assistance from the United States.

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