Putin is preparing for a long-term confrontation with the West - Lithuanian intelligence
Russia intends to initiate various provocations on NATO's borders. That is why Lithuania is already expecting aggressive rhetoric from the Kremlin.
This was stated by Darius Jauniškis, the head of the Lithuanian State Security Department. He emphasized that experts already see "how Moscow is preparing for a long-term confrontation with the West."
"The Kremlin has a fairly wide range of means and tools (for provocations) that it will undoubtedly use to reduce Western support for Ukraine. Of course, information and cyber operations will be used. We are seeing them now. Nuclear blackmail is one of these means," Jauniškis said.
The official added that Lithuania expects not only "information provocations" but also does not rule out various incidents on the territory of NATO countries initiated by Russia.
In turn, the Lithuanian intelligence service said that Moscow's top priority now is not to lose the war in Ukraine. That is why it is now deploying its largest forces there, and the number of Russian troops on NATO's borders, including with Lithuania, is being significantly reduced.
However, this applies only to the infantry. "Other components of the Russian army, such as the navy, air force, and air defense, remain largely unaffected in the region," the intelligence service said. According to them, Russia is seeking to restore its capabilities on the borders with NATO and is therefore planning a long-term build-up.
Both processes are going on simultaneously: Russia is mobilizing resources against Ukraine and at the same time building new capabilities for a long-term confrontation with the West.